A decision modeling perspective on U.S.-Cuba relations /
Arquilla, John.
A decision modeling perspective on U.S.-Cuba relations / John Arquilla. - xvii, 36 pages ; 28 cm
"National Defense Research Institute."
Includes bibliographical references (p. 35-36).
This monograph forms part of a larger study of Cuba in the post-Cold War world. It focuses primarily on understanding and influencing Fidel Castro, although its findings should also have value for studies that examine transitional paths away from Castroism. The analytic framework employed in this study recognizes that an emphasis on capabilities rather than intentions will likely remain a predominant element in policy planning. Nevertheless, it suggests that understanding an opponent's reasoning can generate useful, often counterintuitive insights, allowing for the pursuit of optimal strategies under conditions of uncertainty.
0833014641
RAND/MR-337-USDP
$9.00
94209684
Cuba--Foreign relations--Decision making.--United States
United States--Foreign relations--Decision making.--Cuba
E183.8.C9 / A77 1993 JX1428.C9 / A77 1993
A decision modeling perspective on U.S.-Cuba relations / John Arquilla. - xvii, 36 pages ; 28 cm
"National Defense Research Institute."
Includes bibliographical references (p. 35-36).
This monograph forms part of a larger study of Cuba in the post-Cold War world. It focuses primarily on understanding and influencing Fidel Castro, although its findings should also have value for studies that examine transitional paths away from Castroism. The analytic framework employed in this study recognizes that an emphasis on capabilities rather than intentions will likely remain a predominant element in policy planning. Nevertheless, it suggests that understanding an opponent's reasoning can generate useful, often counterintuitive insights, allowing for the pursuit of optimal strategies under conditions of uncertainty.
0833014641
RAND/MR-337-USDP
$9.00
94209684
Cuba--Foreign relations--Decision making.--United States
United States--Foreign relations--Decision making.--Cuba
E183.8.C9 / A77 1993 JX1428.C9 / A77 1993