Robust Simulation for Mega-Risks (Record no. 265390)
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| 000 -LEADER | |
|---|---|
| fixed length control field | 03505nam a22005055i 4500 |
| 001 - CONTROL NUMBER | |
| control field | 978-3-319-19413-4 |
| 003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER | |
| control field | DE-He213 |
| 005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION | |
| control field | 20160615101737.0 |
| 007 - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION FIXED FIELD--GENERAL INFORMATION | |
| fixed length control field | cr nn 008mamaa |
| 008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION | |
| fixed length control field | 151111s2015 gw | s |||| 0|eng d |
| 020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER | |
| International Standard Book Number | 9783319194134 |
| -- | 978-3-319-19413-4 |
| 024 7# - OTHER STANDARD IDENTIFIER | |
| Standard number or code | 10.1007/978-3-319-19413-4 |
| Source of number or code | doi |
| 049 ## - LOCAL HOLDINGS (OCLC) | |
| Holding library | Alfaisal Main Library |
| 050 #4 - LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CALL NUMBER | |
| Classification number | GB5000-5030 |
| 072 #7 - SUBJECT CATEGORY CODE | |
| Subject category code | RNR |
| Source | bicssc |
| 072 #7 - SUBJECT CATEGORY CODE | |
| Subject category code | NAT023000 |
| Source | bisacsh |
| 082 04 - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER | |
| Classification number | 551 |
| Edition number | 23 |
| 100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Taylor, Craig E. |
| Relator term | author. |
| 245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT | |
| Title | Robust Simulation for Mega-Risks |
| Medium | [electronic resource] : |
| Remainder of title | The Path from Single-Solution to Competitive, Multi-Solution Methods for Mega-Risk Management / |
| Statement of responsibility, etc | by Craig E. Taylor. |
| 250 ## - EDITION STATEMENT | |
| Edition statement | 1st ed. 2015. |
| 264 #1 - PRODUCTION, PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, MANUFACTURE STATEMENTS | |
| Place of production, publication, distribution, manufacture | Cham : |
| Name of producer, publisher, distributor, manufacturer | Springer International Publishing : |
| -- | Imprint: Springer, |
| Date of production, publication, distribution, manufacture | 2015. |
| 300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION | |
| Extent | XXI, 164 p. 21 illus., 9 illus. in color. |
| Other physical details | online resource. |
| 336 ## - CONTENT TYPE | |
| Content Type Term | text |
| Content Type Code | txt |
| Source | rdacontent |
| 337 ## - MEDIA TYPE | |
| Media Type Term | computer |
| Media Type Code | c |
| Source | rdamedia |
| 338 ## - CARRIER TYPE | |
| Carrier Type Term | online resource |
| Carrier Type Code | cr |
| Source | rdacarrier |
| 347 ## - | |
| -- | text file |
| -- | |
| -- | rda |
| 505 0# - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE | |
| Formatted contents note | Introduction: Initial Queries Going Forward -- The Deductivist Theory of Probability and Statistics -- The Frequency Theory of Probability -- Probability and Randomness as Beliefs: Bayesian Theory -- More Challenges to Tradition: Extreme Value Diagnostics, Power Laws, and the Wobble -- Mathematization of Statistics: Flexibility and Convergence -- Robust Simulation and Non-linear Reasoning: Quantitative and Qualitative Examples -- Managing Expectations: Qualitative Considerations And Quantitative Decision Procedures -- Conclusions and Queries. |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
| Summary, etc | This book introduces a new way of analyzing, measuring and thinking about mega-risks, a “paradigm shift” that moves from single-solutions to multiple competitive solutions and strategies. “Robust simulation” is a statistical approach that demonstrates future risk through simulation of a suite of possible answers. To arrive at this point, the book systematically walks through the historical statistical methods for evaluating risks. The first chapters deal with three theories of probability and statistics that have been dominant in the 20th century, along with key mathematical issues and dilemmas. The book then introduces “robust simulation” which solves the problem of measuring the stability of simulated losses, incorporates outliers, and simulates future risk through a suite of possible answers and stochastic modeling of unknown variables. This book discusses various analytical methods for utilizing divergent solutions in making pragmatic financial and risk-mitigation decisions. The book emphasizes the importance of flexibility and attempts to demonstrate that alternative credible approaches are helpful and required in understanding a great many phenomena. . |
| 650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Earth sciences. |
| 650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Natural disasters. |
| 650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Computer simulation. |
| 650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | System theory. |
| 650 14 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Earth Sciences. |
| 650 24 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Natural Hazards. |
| 650 24 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Simulation and Modeling. |
| 650 24 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Complex Systems. |
| 655 #7 - INDEX TERM--GENRE/FORM | |
| Genre/form data or focus term | Electronic books. |
| Source of term | local |
| 710 2# - ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME | |
| Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element | SpringerLink (Online service) |
| 773 0# - HOST ITEM ENTRY | |
| Title | Springer eBooks |
| 776 08 - ADDITIONAL PHYSICAL FORM ENTRY | |
| Display text | Printed edition: |
| International Standard Book Number | 9783319194127 |
| 856 40 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS | |
| Uniform Resource Identifier | <a href="http://ezproxy.alfaisal.edu/login?url=http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-19413-4">http://ezproxy.alfaisal.edu/login?url=http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-19413-4</a> |
| 912 ## - | |
| -- | ZDB-2-EES |
| 942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) | |
| Source of classification or shelving scheme | Library of Congress Classification |
| Koha item type | eBooks |
No items available.