A computational model of public support for insurgency and terrorism : (Record no. 597353)
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| 000 -LEADER | |
|---|---|
| fixed length control field | 03573cam a2200397 i 4500 |
| 001 - CONTROL NUMBER | |
| control field | 263865794 |
| 003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER | |
| control field | RAND |
| 005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION | |
| control field | 20200811100803.0 |
| 008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION | |
| fixed length control field | 100115s2013 caua b 000 0 eng d |
| 020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER | |
| International Standard Book Number | 0833079190 (pbk. : alk. paper) |
| 020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER | |
| International Standard Book Number | 9780833079190 (pbk. : alk. paper) |
| 027 ## - STANDARD TECHNICAL REPORT NUMBER | |
| Standard technical report number | RAND/TR-1220-OSD |
| 037 ## - SOURCE OF ACQUISITION | |
| Terms of availability | $29.95 |
| Form of issue | paperback |
| 040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE | |
| Original cataloging agency | CstmoR |
| Transcribing agency | CstmoR |
| 050 00 - LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CALL NUMBER | |
| Classification number | HV6431 |
| Item number | .D297 2013 |
| 100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Davis, Paul K., |
| Dates associated with a name | 1943- |
| Relator term | author. |
| 245 12 - TITLE STATEMENT | |
| Title | A computational model of public support for insurgency and terrorism : |
| Remainder of title | a prototype for more-general social-science modeling / |
| Statement of responsibility, etc | Paul K. Davis and Angela O'Mahony. |
| 264 #1 - PRODUCTION, PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, MANUFACTURE STATEMENTS | |
| Place of production, publication, distribution, manufacture | Santa Monica, CA : |
| Name of producer, publisher, distributor, manufacturer | RAND, |
| Date of production, publication, distribution, manufacture | 2013. |
| 300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION | |
| Extent | xxi, 88 pages : |
| Other physical details | color illustrations ; |
| Dimensions | 28 cm |
| 336 ## - CONTENT TYPE | |
| Content Type Term | text |
| Content Type Code | txt |
| Source | rdacontent |
| 337 ## - MEDIA TYPE | |
| Media Type Term | unmediated |
| Media Type Code | n |
| Source | rdamedia |
| 338 ## - CARRIER TYPE | |
| Carrier Type Term | volume |
| Carrier Type Code | nc |
| Source | rdacarrier |
| 500 ## - GENERAL NOTE | |
| General note | "RAND National Defense Research Institute." |
| 500 ## - GENERAL NOTE | |
| General note | "This research was conducted within the Acquisition and Technology Policy Center of the RAND National Defense Research Institute"--Preface. |
| 504 ## - BIBLIOGRAPHY, ETC. NOTE | |
| Bibliography, etc | Includes bibliographical references (p. 85-88). |
| 505 0# - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE | |
| Formatted contents note | Introduction -- Specifying the Model -- Implementation in a High-Level Language -- Looking Ahead to Exploratory Analysis Under Uncertainty -- Using the Model for Knowledge Elicitation, Discussion, and Diagnosis -- Appendix A: Primer on Factor Trees (a reprint) -- Appendix B: Verification and Validation -- Appendix C: Eliciting Factor Values -- Appendix D: Mathematics for "And" and "Or" Relationships. |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
| Summary, etc | This report builds on earlier RAND research (e.g., Understanding and Influencing Public Support for Insurgency and Terrorism, 2012) that reviewed and integrated social science relevant to terrorism and insurgency. That research used qualitative conceptual causal models called “factor trees” to identify the factors that contribute to various aspects of terrorism or insurgency at a slice in time and how the factors relate to each other qualitatively. This report goes beyond the conceptual and qualitative by specifying a prototype uncertainty-sensitive computational model for one of the factor trees from the earlier research, one that describes public support for terrorism and insurgency. The authors first detail their approach to designing such a model, emphasizing the challenges they encountered in assigning mathematical meaning to the factor tree’s numerous factors and subfactors, identifying suitable “building block” combining algorithms, and the uncertainty in their values and the relationships among them. They then describe how they implemented the model in a high-level visual-programming environment, show how the model can be used for exploratory analysis under uncertainty, and discuss their initial experience with it. Methodologically, the work illustrates a new approach to causal, uncertainty-and-context-sensitive, social-science modeling. It also illustrates how such models can be reviewable, reusable, and potentially composable. |
| 530 ## - ADDITIONAL PHYSICAL FORM AVAILABLE NOTE | |
| Additional physical form available note | Also available on the internet via WWW in PDF format. |
| 650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Insurgency |
| General subdivision | Public opinion. |
| 650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Terrorism |
| General subdivision | Prevention. |
| 650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Terrorism |
| General subdivision | Public opinion. |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | O'Mahony, Angela. |
| Relator term | author. |
| 710 2# - ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME | |
| Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element | National Defense Research Institute (U.S.). |
| Subordinate unit | Acquisition and Technology Policy Center. |
| 710 2# - ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME | |
| Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element | Rand Corporation. |
| 710 1# - ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME | |
| Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element | United States. |
| Subordinate unit | Department of Defense. |
| -- | Office of the Secretary of Defense. |
| 856 41 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS | |
| Link text | Online Access |
| Uniform Resource Identifier | <a href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR1220.html">http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR1220.html</a> |
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