U.S.-China relations after resolution of Taiwan's status / Roger Cliff, David A. Shlapak.
Publisher: Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2007Description: xiii, 24 pages : illustrations ; 23 cmContent type:- text
- computer
- unmediated
- online resource
- volume
- 0833040367 (pbk. : alk. paper)
- 0833042661 (electronic bk.)
- 9780833040367 (pbk. : alk. paper)
- 9780833042668 (electronic bk.)
- United States-China relations after resolution of Taiwan's status
- National security -- Taiwan
- China -- Foreign relations -- Taiwan
- China -- Foreign relations -- United States
- China -- Military policy -- 21st century
- Taiwan -- Foreign relations -- China
- Taiwan -- Foreign relations -- United States
- United States -- Foreign relations -- China
- United States -- Foreign relations -- Taiwan
- United States -- Military policy -- 21st century
- UA853.T28 C55 2007
- Also available on the internet via WWW in PDF format.

"RAND Project Air Force."
Includes bibliographical references (p. 23-24).
Near-Term Prospects -- Longer-Term Possibilities -- Observations.
Although the question of Taiwan's status is unlikely to be resolved soon, considering the various possible outcomes and how they might affect U.S.-China relations is useful. A total of ten distinct trajectories for the resolution of the cross-strait relationship can be identified, with greatly varying implications for U.S.-China relations. Unsurprisingly, the impact of peaceful outcomes, including continued peaceful irresolution, is both more predictable and generally better for relations between Washington and Beijing. If China uses force against Taiwan, however, subsequent U.S.-China relations could fall anywhere from close cooperation to hostile cold war. Both how the Taiwan issue is resolved and the nature of subsequent U.S.-China relations will largely be determined by the nature of China's government: a democratic, or, at least, highly pragmatic Chinese government is more likely to achieve a peaceful resolution; a government still controlled by the Chinese Communist Party is less likely to do so. As China's military capabilities grow, it will become increasingly difficult but also increasingly more important to prevent Beijing from using force to bring about unification.
Also available on the internet via WWW in PDF format.