Uncertainty, expectations, and financial instability : reviving Allais's lost theory of psychological time / Eric Barthalon.
By: Barthalon, Eric.
New York : Columbia University Press, ©2014Description: xlvi, 396 pages : illustrations ; 24 cm.Content type: text Media type: unmediated Carrier type: volumeISBN: 0231166281 hardback; 9780231166287 hardback.Subject(s): Allais, Maurice | Allais, Maurice | Investments -- Psychological aspects | BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Inflation | Investments -- Psychological aspectsGenre/Form: Print books.DDC classification: 332.6019Current location | Call number | Status | Date due | Barcode | Item holds |
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On Shelf | HG4515.15 .B39 2014 (Browse shelf) | Available | AU0000000005456 |
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Includes bibliographical references (pages 367-374) and index.
Expectations before the rational expectations revolution -- Rational expectations are endogenous to and abide by "the" model -- Macrofoundations of monetary dynamics -- Microfoundations of monetary dynamics: the HRL formulation of the demand for money -- The fundamental equation of monetary dynamics -- Joint testing of the HRL formulation of the demand for money and of the fundamental equation of monetary dynamics -- Allais's HRL formulation: illustration of its dynamic properties by an example of hyperinflation (Zimbabwe 2000-2008) -- The HRL formulation and nominal interest rates -- Perceived returns and the modeling of financial behavior -- Downside potential under risk: the Allais paradox and its conflicting interpretations -- Downside potential under uncertainty: the perceived risk of loss -- Conclusion -- Appendixes: A. How to compute Z(n) and z(n) -- B. Nominal interest rates and the perceived rate of nominal growth -- C. Proofs -- D. Comparison between the Kalman filter and Allais's HRL algorithm -- E.A note on the theory of intertemporal choice -- F. Allais's cardinal utility function.