The signal and the noise : why so many predictions fail-- but some don't / Nate Silver.
By: Silver, Nate.
©2012Description: 534 p. : ill. ; 25 cm.Content type: text Media type: unmediated Carrier type: volumeISBN: 9780141975658.Subject(s): Forecasting | Forecasting -- Methodology | Forecasting -- History | Bayesian statistical decision theory | Knowledge, Theory ofGenre/Form: Print books.| Current location | Call number | Status | Date due | Barcode | Item holds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| On Shelf | CB158 .S54 2012 (Browse shelf) | Available | AU00000000014830 |
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Includes bibliographical references (p. 459-514) and index.
A Catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit? -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to drown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em ... -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you.
Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.