Linking uncertain energy and environmental models : executive summary / David Leinweber, Ray Squitieri.

By:

Leinweber, David, 1952- [author.]

Contributor(s):

Publisher: Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 1980Description: xvi, 31 pages : illustrations, maps ; 23 cmContent type:

text

Media type:

computer
unmediated

Carrier type:

online resource
volume

ISBN:

0833002821 (pbk.)

Subject(s):

LOC classification:

HD9502.U52 L45 1980

Online resources:

Online Access

Available additional physical forms:

Also available on the internet via WWW in PDF format.

Summary: Summarizes the results of a RAND study of models used to support policy decisions. This work focuses specifically on energy and environmental issues, but the methods and conclusions are applicable to any field characterized by poor data quality and high degrees of uncertainty. The study clearly shows that in many policy models the uncertainties, which are usually unreported, overwhelm the reported results. What initially appears to be a problem, or an answer to a problem, is often just statistical noise.

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"December 1980."

Includes bibliographical references (p. 31).

Summarizes the results of a RAND study of models used to support policy decisions. This work focuses specifically on energy and environmental issues, but the methods and conclusions are applicable to any field characterized by poor data quality and high degrees of uncertainty. The study clearly shows that in many policy models the uncertainties, which are usually unreported, overwhelm the reported results. What initially appears to be a problem, or an answer to a problem, is often just statistical noise.

Also available on the internet via WWW in PDF format.

Description based on print version record.