01977cam a2200301 a 450000100090000000300070000900500170001600800410003301000170007402000180009102000270010903500240013604000620016005000220022210000350024424500900027926000380036930000450040750400640045250507720051652002140128865000440150265000200154665000280156665000190159465500240161326400380163716115751US-DLC20161031122313.0100303s2010 nyua b 001 0 eng  a 2010005464 a9780452297180 z0525951601 (hardcover) a(OCoLC)ocn426800811 aDLCcDLCdBTCTAdYDXCPdC#PdBWXdABGdCDXdVP@dT7BdDLC00aHM1011b.B37 20111 aBarabási, Albert-László.10aBursts :bthe hidden pattern behind everything we do /cAlbert-László Barabási. aNew York, N.Y. :bDutton,cc2011. aix, 310 p. :bill. (some col.) ;c24 cm. aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 271-295) and index.0 aThe best bodyguard in the business -- A pope is elected in Rome -- The mystery of random motion -- Duel in Belgrade -- The future is not yet searchable -- Bloody prophecy -- Prediction or prophecy -- A crusade at last -- Violence, random and otherwise -- An unforeseen massacre -- Deadly quarrels and power laws -- The Nagylak Battle -- The origin of bursts -- Accidents don't happen to crucifixes -- The man who taught himself to swim by reading -- An investigation -- Trailing the albatross -- "Villain!" -- The patterns of human mobility -- Revolution now -- Predictably unpredictable -- A diversion in Transylvania -- The truth about LifeLinear -- Szekler against Szekler -- Feeling sick is not a priority -- The final battles -- The third ear -- Flesh and blood. aOutlines a theory of how to predict behavior, drawing on seven years of research while demonstrating the mathematical properties of seemingly random events, from the spread of epidemics to the history of wars. 0aSocial psychologyxStatistical methods. 0aHuman behavior. 0aPrediction (Psychology) 0aPsychohistory. 02localaPrint books. aNew York, N.Y. :bDutton,cc2011.