02191cam a2200409 i 4500001001900000003000500019008004100024010001300065020001500078027002100093035002000114037001000134040001900144043002100163050002400184050002400208100002900232245007700261264003700338300002800375336002600403337002600429337002800455338003600483338002700519500004300546504005200589520063900641530005801280588004701338651006101385651006101446710010201507710002201609710007301631856007701704rnd000000000111991RAND931026s1993    cau      b    000 0 eng d  a94209684  a0833014641  aRAND/MR-337-USDP  a(Sirsi) a348780  c$9.00  aCstmoRcCstmoR  an-us---anwcu--- 4aE183.8.C9bA77 199300aJX1428.C9bA77 19931 aArquilla, John.eauthor.12aA decision modeling perspective on U.S.-Cuba relations /cJohn Arquilla. 1aSanta Monica, CA :bRAND,c1993.  axvii, 36 pages ;c28 cm  atextbtxt2rdacontent  acomputerbc2rdamedia  aunmediatedbn2rdamedia  aonline resourcebcr2rdacarrier  avolumebnc2rdacarrier  a"National Defense Research Institute."  aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 35-36).  aThis monograph forms part of a larger study of Cuba in the post-Cold War world. It focuses primarily on understanding and influencing Fidel Castro, although its findings should also have value for studies that examine transitional paths away from Castroism. The analytic framework employed in this study recognizes that an emphasis on capabilities rather than intentions will likely remain a predominant element in policy planning. Nevertheless, it suggests that understanding an opponent's reasoning can generate useful, often counterintuitive insights, allowing for the pursuit of optimal strategies under conditions of uncertainty.  aAlso available on the internet via WWW in PDF format.  aDescription based on print version record. 0aCubaxForeign relationszUnited StatesxDecision making. 0aUnited StatesxForeign relationszCubaxDecision making.2 aNational Defense Research Institute (U.S.).bInternational Security and Defense Strategy Program.2 aRand Corporation.1 aUnited States.bOffice of the Under Secretary of Defense for Policy.41yOnline Accessuhttp://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/2006/MR337.pdf