02191cam a2200409 i 4500 rnd000000000111991 RAND 931026s1993 cau b 000 0 eng d 94209684 0833014641 RAND/MR-337-USDP (Sirsi) a348780 $9.00 CstmoR CstmoR n-us--- nwcu--- E183.8.C9 A77 1993 JX1428.C9 A77 1993 Arquilla, John. author. A decision modeling perspective on U.S.-Cuba relations / John Arquilla. Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 1993. xvii, 36 pages ; 28 cm text txt rdacontent computer c rdamedia unmediated n rdamedia online resource cr rdacarrier volume nc rdacarrier "National Defense Research Institute." Includes bibliographical references (p. 35-36). This monograph forms part of a larger study of Cuba in the post-Cold War world. It focuses primarily on understanding and influencing Fidel Castro, although its findings should also have value for studies that examine transitional paths away from Castroism. The analytic framework employed in this study recognizes that an emphasis on capabilities rather than intentions will likely remain a predominant element in policy planning. Nevertheless, it suggests that understanding an opponent's reasoning can generate useful, often counterintuitive insights, allowing for the pursuit of optimal strategies under conditions of uncertainty. Also available on the internet via WWW in PDF format. Description based on print version record. Cuba Foreign relations United States Decision making. United States Foreign relations Cuba Decision making. National Defense Research Institute (U.S.). International Security and Defense Strategy Program. Rand Corporation. United States. Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Policy. Online Access http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/2006/MR337.pdf 597531 597531