A Arquilla, John. creator author. National Defense Research Institute (U.S.) International Security and Defense Strategy Program. Rand Corporation United States Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Policy. text bibliography cau 1993 monographic eng

print

xvii, 36 pages ; 28 cm This monograph forms part of a larger study of Cuba in the post-Cold War world. It focuses primarily on understanding and influencing Fidel Castro, although its findings should also have value for studies that examine transitional paths away from Castroism. The analytic framework employed in this study recognizes that an emphasis on capabilities rather than intentions will likely remain a predominant element in policy planning. Nevertheless, it suggests that understanding an opponent's reasoning can generate useful, often counterintuitive insights, allowing for the pursuit of optimal strategies under conditions of uncertainty. John Arquilla. "National Defense Research Institute." Includes bibliographical references (p. 35-36). Also available on the internet via WWW in PDF format. n-us--- nwcu--- Cuba Foreign relations United States Decision making United States Foreign relations Cuba Decision making E183.8.C9 A77 1993 JX1428.C9 A77 1993 0833014641 94209684 http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/2006/MR337.pdf http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/2006/MR337.pdf CstmoR 931026 rnd000000000111991