TY - BOOK AU - Arquilla,John ED - National Defense Research Institute (U.S.). ED - Rand Corporation. ED - United States. TI - A decision modeling perspective on U.S.-Cuba relations SN - 0833014641 AV - E183.8.C9 A77 1993 PY - 1993/// CY - Santa Monica, CA PB - RAND KW - Cuba KW - Foreign relations KW - United States KW - Decision making N1 - "National Defense Research Institute."; Includes bibliographical references (p. 35-36); Also available on the internet via WWW in PDF format N2 - This monograph forms part of a larger study of Cuba in the post-Cold War world. It focuses primarily on understanding and influencing Fidel Castro, although its findings should also have value for studies that examine transitional paths away from Castroism. The analytic framework employed in this study recognizes that an emphasis on capabilities rather than intentions will likely remain a predominant element in policy planning. Nevertheless, it suggests that understanding an opponent's reasoning can generate useful, often counterintuitive insights, allowing for the pursuit of optimal strategies under conditions of uncertainty UR - http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/2006/MR337.pdf ER -