01988cam a2200397 i 4500001001900000003000500019008004100024010001600065020002200081027002500103035002000128037002200148040001900170043001200189050002500201100003800226245011000264264003700374300005000411336002600461337002600487337002800513338003600541338002700577500002100604504004900625520051700674530005801191588004701249650007801296650005501374700003601429710002201465710004201487856006101529rnd000000000047105RAND920212s1980    cauab    b    000 0 eng d  a   80027597  a0833002821 (pbk.)  aRAND/R-2609/1-DOE/RC  a(Sirsi) a188059  c$20.00fpaperback  aCstmoRcCstmoR  an-us--- 4aHD9502.U52bL45 19801 aLeinweber, David,d1952-eauthor.10aLinking uncertain energy and environmental models :bexecutive summary /cDavid Leinweber, Ray Squitieri. 1aSanta Monica, CA :bRAND,c1980.  axvi, 31 pages :billustrations, maps ;c23 cm  atextbtxt2rdacontent  acomputerbc2rdamedia  aunmediatedbn2rdamedia  aonline resourcebcr2rdacarrier  avolumebnc2rdacarrier  a"December 1980."  aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 31).  aSummarizes the results of a RAND study of models used to support policy decisions.  This work focuses specifically on energy and environmental issues, but the methods and conclusions are applicable to any field characterized by poor data quality and high degrees of uncertainty.  The study clearly shows that in many policy models the uncertainties, which are usually unreported, overwhelm the reported results.  What initially appears to be a problem, or an answer to a problem, is often just statistical noise.  aAlso available on the internet via WWW in PDF format.  aDescription based on print version record. 0aEnergy policyxEnvironmental aspectszUnited StatesxMathematical models. 0aEnergy policyzUnited StatesxMathematical models.1 aSquitieri, Ray,d1950-eauthor.2 aRand Corporation.1 aUnited States.bDepartment of Energy.41yOnline Accessuhttp://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R2609.1/