executive summary Leinweber, David 1952- creator author. Squitieri, Ray 1950- author. Rand Corporation United States Department of Energy. text bibliography cau 1980 monographic eng

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xvi, 31 pages : illustrations, maps ; 23 cm Summarizes the results of a RAND study of models used to support policy decisions. This work focuses specifically on energy and environmental issues, but the methods and conclusions are applicable to any field characterized by poor data quality and high degrees of uncertainty. The study clearly shows that in many policy models the uncertainties, which are usually unreported, overwhelm the reported results. What initially appears to be a problem, or an answer to a problem, is often just statistical noise. David Leinweber, Ray Squitieri. "December 1980." Includes bibliographical references (p. 31). Also available on the internet via WWW in PDF format. n-us--- Energy policy Environmental aspects United States Mathematical models Energy policy United States Mathematical models HD9502.U52 L45 1980 0833002821 (pbk.) 80027597 http://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R2609.1/ http://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R2609.1/ CstmoR 920212 rnd000000000047105