TY  - BOOK
AU  - Hollywood,John S.
AU  - Snyder,Diane
AU  - McKay,Kenneth N.
AU  - Boon,John E.
ED  - Rand Corporation.
ED  - Rand Corporation.
TI  - Out of the ordinary: finding hidden threats by analyzing unusual behavior 
SN  - 0833035207
AV  - HV6080 .O97 2004
PY  - 2004///
CY  - Santa Monica, CA
PB  - RAND
KW  - Crime forecasting
KW  - United States
KW  - Criminal behavior, Prediction of
KW  - Criminal methods
KW  - Intelligence service
KW  - National security
KW  - Terrorism
KW  - Forecasting
KW  - Psychological aspects
N1  - "RAND National Security Research Division."; Includes bibliographical references (p. 151-155); Also available on the internet via WWW in PDF format
N2  - This monograph presents a unique approach to "connecting the dots" in intelligence--selecting and assembling disparate pieces of information to produce a general understanding of a threat. Modeled after key thought processes used by successful and proactive problem solvers to identify potential threats, the Atypical Signal Analysis and Processing (ASAP) schema described in this document identifies out-of-the-ordinary, atypical behavior that is potentially related to terror activity; seeks to understand the behavior by putting it into context; generates and tests hypotheses about what the atypical behavior might mean; and prioritizes the results, focusing analysts' attention on the most significant atypical findings. In addition to discussing the schema, the authors describe a supporting conceptual architecture and present specific techniques for identifying and analyzing out-of-the-ordinary information. An appendix presents the scenario for a hypothetical terrorist attack, describes the events leading up to the "attack," and shows how ASAP could have been used to help intelligence analysts identify the threat
UR  - http://www.rand.org/publications/MG/MG126/
ER  -