02372cam a2200433 i 4500001001900000003000500019005001700024008004100041020001500082027001900097035002000116037001100136040001900147043001200166050002400178245007500202264003700277300004300314336002600357337002600383337002800409338003600437338002700473500004300500504005200543520090300595530005801498651005001556651003301606700004101639700003101680700003101711700002401742710002201766710004401788710002101832856006601853999001901919rnd000000000092840RAND20200811100916.0960130s1995    caua     b    000 0 eng d  a0833023640  aRAND/MR-570-LE  a(Sirsi) a382091  c$13.00  aCstmoRcCstmoR  an-us-ca 4aHC102.C2b.P76 199500aProjecting California's fiscal future /cStephen Carroll ... [et al.]. 1aSanta Monica, CA :bRAND,c1995.  axv, 96 pages :billustrations ;c28 cm  atextbtxt2rdacontent  acomputerbc2rdamedia  aunmediatedbn2rdamedia  aonline resourcebcr2rdacarrier  avolumebnc2rdacarrier  a"Institute on Education and Training."  aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 95-96).  aThe purpose of this monograph is to provide technical detail on the data and methods the authors used to project California's General-Fund revenues and spending through 2005. The report begins with an overview that presents the policy-relevant results and implications of those projections. The results indicate that if current demographic and economic trends, tax policies, and mandated spending programs continue through the next decade, California faces a budget crisis. The long-term prospects for state support of some public service systems, including education, are consequently bleak. The bulk of the report is devoted to describing the data and methods used to estimate revenues and spending in the major budget categories. This information should be of interest to California legislators and budget analysts, as well as analysts in other research institutions and other state governments.  aAlso available on the internet via WWW in PDF format. 0aCaliforniaxEconomic conditionsxForecasting. 0aCaliforniaxEconomic policy.1 aCarroll, Stephen J.,d1940-eauthor.1 aBryton, Eugene F.eauthor.1 aRydell, C. Peter.eauthor.1 aShires, M.eauthor.2 aRand Corporation.2 aRand Institute on Education & Training.2 aLilly Endowment.41yOnline Accessuhttp://www.rand.org/publications/MR/MR570.html  c599408d599408