02710cam a2200457 i 4500001001900000003000500019008004100024010001600065020002200081027001900103035002000122037001100142040001900153043002100172050002100193100003600214245010200250264003700352300004300389336002600432337002600458337002800484338003600512338002700548500002000575500003200595504004100627520106600668530005801734588004701792650003801839650003201877650003401909651003501943651003601978700005702014710006902071710002202140710003102162856005902193rnd000000000047458RAND920212s1986    caua     b    000 0 eng d  a   86013861  a0833007378 (pbk.)  aRAND/R-3369-AF  a(Sirsi) a188600  c$25.00  aCstmoRcCstmoR  an-us---ae-ur---00aUG740b.K46 19861 aKent, Glenn A.,d1915-eauthor.10aStrategic defenses and the transition to assured survival /cGlenn A. Kent and Randall J. DeValk. 1aSanta Monica, CA :bRAND,c1986.  axv, 57 pages :billustrations ;c23 cm  atextbtxt2rdacontent  acomputerbc2rdamedia  aunmediatedbn2rdamedia  aonline resourcebcr2rdacarrier  avolumebnc2rdacarrier  a"October 1986."  a"Project Air Force"--Cover.  aIncludes bibliographical references.  aThis report details the anatomy and calculus of the ballistic missile portion of the transition to a robust nationwide strategic defense posture, as proposed by President Reagan on March 23, 1983. To provide insight into the policy issues surrounding the transition, the authors develop an analytic format based on ballistic missile "defense potential." The defense potential format demonstrates that, if highly survivable strategic defenses were deployed as an adjunct to current superpower ballistic missile forces, the United States could make the transition to the President's goal of assured survival from ballistic missile attack without having to pass through a period during which either the United States or the Soviet Union would have great incentive to launch a first strike against the other. However, if the defenses are vulnerable to attack and/or if both superpowers continue to deploy weapons capable of destroying hard targets but fail to adopt corresponding offensive force survivability measures, a stable transition would become less likely.  aAlso available on the internet via WWW in PDF format.  aDescription based on print version record. 0aArms racexHistoryy20th century. 0aBallistic missile defenses. 0aStrategic Defense Initiative. 0aSoviet UnionxMilitary policy. 0aUnited StatesxMilitary policy.1 aDeValk, Randall J.q(Randall James),d1957-eauthor.2 aProject Air Force (U.S.).bNational Security Strategies Program.2 aRand Corporation.1 aUnited States.bAir Force.41yOnline Accessuhttp://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R3369/