000 02837cam a2200433 i 4500
001 rnd000000000092794
003 RAND
008 951106s1995 caua b 000 0deng d
010 _a 95008390
020 _a0833023306
027 _aRAND/MR-558-1-OSD
035 _a(Sirsi) a380225
037 _c$15.00
040 _aCstmoR
_cCstmoR
043 _aa-ch---
_aa-cc---
050 0 0 _aDS799
_b.F45 1995
100 1 _aFeigenbaum, Evan A.,
_d1969-
_eauthor.
245 1 0 _aChange in Taiwan and potential adversity in the Strait /
_cEvan A. Feigenbaum.
264 1 _aSanta Monica, CA :
_bRAND,
_c1995.
300 _axvii, 65 pages :
_billustrations ;
_c28 cm
336 _atext
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _acomputer
_bc
_2rdamedia
337 _aunmediated
_bn
_2rdamedia
338 _aonline resource
_bcr
_2rdacarrier
338 _avolume
_bnc
_2rdacarrier
500 _a"National Defense Research Institute."
504 _aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 63-65).
520 _aFor more than 40 years, the China-Taiwan conflict has effectively institutionalized the outcome of China's 1945-49 civil war. Since 1949, each side of the Taiwan Strait has been ruled by one of the two main parties to that conflict--the Chinese Communist Party and the Kuomintang--and until the mid-1980s the claims of each to represent China's legitimate national government limited flexibility on both sides and rendered real movement in the relationship virtually impossible. Since the mid-1980s, however, Kuomintang authorities have loosened some political restrictions in Taiwan. This shift has produced rapid economic and political developments on the island, the thrust of which is extremely disturbing to China's leadership and which has fundamentally altered the parameters of the Strait conflict. The author foresees a degree of stability in the short to medium term but identifies three potentially destabilizing trends that may pull Taiwan away from any substantive commitment to reunification: the political and social changes favoring a "distinct" Taiwan identity; "Taiwanization" of the ruling Kuomintang; and increasing confidence in Taiwan's ability to leverage wealth, investment, and trade for ambitious foreign policy goals.
530 _aAlso available on the internet via WWW in PDF format.
650 0 _aChinese reunification question, 1949-
651 0 _aTaiwan
_xEconomic conditions.
651 0 _aTaiwan
_xForeign relations.
651 0 _aTaiwan
_xPolitics and government.
651 0 _aTaiwan
_xSocial conditions.
651 0 _aUnited States
_xForeign relations
_zTaiwan.
710 2 _aInternational Security and Defense Policy Center.
710 2 _aRand Corporation.
710 1 _aUnited States.
_bDepartment of Defense.
_bOffice of the Secretary of Defense.
856 4 1 _yOnline Access
_uhttp://www.rand.org/publications/MR/MR558-1.pdf
999 _c597218
_d597218