000 02617cam a2200409 i 4500
001 rnd000000000093845
003 RAND
008 940504s1994 caub b 000 0 eng d
010 _a93043121
020 _a0833014846
027 _aRAND/MR-363-A
035 _a(Sirsi) a358437
037 _c$25.00
040 _aCstmoR
_cCstmoR
043 _aec-----
_aed-----
050 0 0 _aDJK26
_b.S97 1993
100 1 _aSzayna, Thomas S.,
_d1960-
_eauthor.
245 1 0 _aEthnic conflict in Central Europe and the Balkans :
_ba framework and U.S. policy options /
_cThomas S. Szayna.
264 1 _aSanta Monica, CA :
_bRAND,
_c1994.
300 _axvii, 64 pages :
_bmaps ;
_c23 cm
336 _atext
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _acomputer
_bc
_2rdamedia
337 _aunmediated
_bn
_2rdamedia
338 _aonline resource
_bcr
_2rdacarrier
338 _avolume
_bnc
_2rdacarrier
500 _a"Arroyo Center."
504 _aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 61-64).
520 _aThis report provides an analytical framework for thinking about the potential for militarized ethnic conflict in the central part of Europe and the Balkans. The report distinguishes between three types of ethnic tensions: (1) a mobilized ethnic group without outside backers, which can escalate to a low-intensity conflict within a specific country; (2) a mobilized ethnic group backed by a neighboring nation-state, which can escalate into an international dispute or border war; and (3) the breakup of federal states made up of ethno-territorial administrative units, which can escalate to armed struggle (a hybrid between a civil war and a war for independence that may escalate into a larger regional war). The report argues that the type of regional ethnic demands is shifting away from outright secession (breakup of states) and toward calls for autonomy. It concludes that U.S. policy should focus on controlling ethnic tensions by limiting their spread, preventing their escalation into militarized conflict, and containing any conflicts that occur. The report ends with some recommendations for the United States and the Army.
530 _aAlso available on the internet via WWW in PDF format.
588 _aDescription based on print version record.
651 0 _aEurope, Eastern
_xEthnic relations.
651 0 _aEurope, Eastern
_xForeign relations
_zUnited States.
651 0 _aUnited States
_xForeign relations
_zEurope, Eastern.
710 2 _aArroyo Center.
_bStrategy and Doctrine Program.
710 2 _aRand Corporation.
710 1 _aUnited States.
_bArmy.
856 4 1 _yOnline Access
_uhttp://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR363/
999 _c597933
_d597933