000			01988cam a2200397 i 4500
001			rnd000000000047105
003			RAND
008			920212s1980 cauab b 000 0 eng d
010			_a 80027597
020			_a0833002821 (pbk.)
027			_aRAND/R-2609/1-DOE/RC
035			_a(Sirsi) a188059
037			_c$20.00 _fpaperback
040			_aCstmoR _cCstmoR
043			_an-us---
050		4	_aHD9502.U52 _bL45 1980
100	1		_aLeinweber, David, _d1952- _eauthor.
245	1	0	_aLinking uncertain energy and environmental models : _bexecutive summary / _cDavid Leinweber, Ray Squitieri.
264		1	_aSanta Monica, CA : _bRAND, _c1980.
300			_axvi, 31 pages : _billustrations, maps ; _c23 cm
336			_atext _btxt _2rdacontent
337			_acomputer _bc _2rdamedia
337			_aunmediated _bn _2rdamedia
338			_aonline resource _bcr _2rdacarrier
338			_avolume _bnc _2rdacarrier
500			_a"December 1980."
504			_aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 31).
520			_aSummarizes the results of a RAND study of models used to support policy decisions. This work focuses specifically on energy and environmental issues, but the methods and conclusions are applicable to any field characterized by poor data quality and high degrees of uncertainty. The study clearly shows that in many policy models the uncertainties, which are usually unreported, overwhelm the reported results. What initially appears to be a problem, or an answer to a problem, is often just statistical noise.
530			_aAlso available on the internet via WWW in PDF format.
588			_aDescription based on print version record.
650		0	_aEnergy policy _xEnvironmental aspects _zUnited States _xMathematical models.
650		0	_aEnergy policy _zUnited States _xMathematical models.
700	1		_aSquitieri, Ray, _d1950- _eauthor.
710	2		_aRand Corporation.
710	1		_aUnited States. _bDepartment of Energy.
856	4	1	_yOnline Access _uhttp://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R2609.1/
999			_c598734 _d598734