000			03423cam a2200445 i 4500
001			rnd000000000111653
003			RAND
005			20200811100913.0
008			080213s2008 caua 000 0deng d
020			_a0833042149
020			_a083304589X (electronic bk.)
020			_a9780833042149
020			_a9780833045898 (electronic bk.)
027			_aRAND/MG-662-OSD
035			_a(Sirsi) a517144
037			_c$32.00
040			_aCstmoR _cCstmoR
043			_an-us---
050	0	0	_aU153 _b.D383 2008
100	1		_aDavis, Paul K., _d1943- _eauthor.
245	1	0	_aPortfolio-analysis methods for assessing capability options / _cPaul K. Davis, Russell D. Shaver, Justin Beck.
264		1	_aSanta Monica, CA : _bRAND, _c2008.
300			_axxxviii, 163 pages : _billustrations ; _c23 cm
336			_atext _btxt _2rdacontent
337			_acomputer _bc _2rdamedia
337			_aunmediated _bn _2rdamedia
338			_aonline resource _bcr _2rdacarrier
338			_avolume _bnc _2rdacarrier
500			_a"RAND National Defense Research Institute."
504			_aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 155-163).
505	0		_aIntroduction -- Background: The Capabilities-Development Process -- A Framework and a Generic Terms of Reference -- Tools to Enable the Framework -- A Notional Example: Global Strike -- A Second Example: Ballistic Missile Defense -- Conclusions and Next Steps -- Appendix A: Joint Capability Areas -- Appendix B: Implications for Systems Engineering and Modeling and Simulation -- Appendix C: RAND's Portfolio-Analysis Tools.
520			_aThis monograph presents and illustrates in some detail an analytical framework and methodology for defensewide capability-area reviews and describes new enabling tools to support capabilities analysis and related tradeoff work within the Department of Defense and the military Services. The Building Blocks to Composite Options Tool (BCOT) is used to generate and screen preliminary options, and the Portfolio-Analysis Tool (PAT) enables users to evaluate in a portfolio-analysis structure those options that pass screening. Variants of the methods can be applied for analysis across capability areas or for strategic-level defense planning, i.e., force planning to establish the overall mix and balance of capabilities. The concepts are illustrated with applications to the capability areas of Global Strike and Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD). Further research is recommended in four areas that promise to have a high payoff for defense planning: analysis cutting across capability areas; strategic-level portfolio analysis; advancing the science of exploratory analysis; and refinement of BCOT and PAT to make them easier to use, understand, modify, and maintain and also to enrich their utility for exploratory analysis and to incorporate new techniques for portfolio analysis developed in the fields of economics and business planning.
530			_aAlso available on the internet via WWW in PDF format.
650		0	_aMilitary planning _zUnited States _xDecision making.
700	1		_aShaver, R. D. _q(Russell D.) _eauthor.
700	1		_aBeck, Justin. _eauthor.
710	2		_aNational Defense Research Institute (U.S.). _bAcquisition and Technology Policy Center.
710	2		_aRand Corporation.
710	1		_aUnited States. _bDepartment of Defense. _bOffice of the Secretary of Defense.
856	4	1	_yOnline Access _uhttp://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG662/
999			_c599318 _d599318