000 02537cam a2200421 i 4500
001 rnd000000000093534
003 RAND
005 20200811100914.0
008 990702s1999 cauab b 000 0 eng d
010 _a 99013282
020 _a0833027212
027 _aRAND/MR-1040-A
035 _a(Sirsi) a411217
037 _c$15.00
040 _aCstmoR
_cCstmoR
043 _aa-kr---
050 0 0 _aDS917.444
_b.P65 1999
100 1 _aPollack, Jonathan D.
_eauthor.
245 1 0 _aPreparing for Korean unification :
_bscenarios and implications /
_cJonathan D. Pollack, Chung Min Lee.
264 1 _aSanta Monica, CA :
_bRAND,
_c1999.
300 _axx, 98 pages :
_billustrations, 1 map ;
_c23 cm
336 _atext
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _acomputer
_bc
_2rdamedia
337 _aunmediated
_bn
_2rdamedia
338 _aonline resource
_bcr
_2rdacarrier
338 _avolume
_bnc
_2rdacarrier
500 _a"Arroyo Center."
504 _aIncludes bibliographical references.
520 _aThis study examines four alternative scenarios that would result in the unification of the Korean peninsula. The authors describe the defining characteristics of each scenario, potential indicators that would predict specific outcomes, some possible variations in paths to unification, and some operational implications for the U.S. Army under different conditions and circumstances. The four scenarios (peaceful unification, collapse and absorption, unification through armed conflict, and disequilibrium and external intervention) highlight both the increasing vulnerabilities of the North Korean state and the substantial uncertainties that attach to each outcome and to the potential U.S. policy responses. These considerations impose major conceptual, policy, and operational challenges both in the near and middle term and in the postunification peninsular security environment. Each warrants an enhanced analysis and assessment effort, lest U.S. and ROK policymakers find themselves ill prepared for major challenges to alliance management and to the U.S. Army role in a future crisis.
530 _aAlso available on the internet via WWW in PDF format.
650 0 _aKorean reunification question (1945- )
651 0 _aKorea (North)
_xPolitics and government.
651 0 _aKorea
_xStrategic aspects.
700 1 _aLee, Chung Min.
_eauthor.
710 2 _aArroyo Center.
_bStrategy and Doctrine Program.
710 2 _aRand Corporation.
710 1 _aUnited States.
_bArmy.
856 4 1 _yOnline Access
_uhttp://www.rand.org/publications/MR/MR1040/
999 _c599357
_d599357